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Republican 2012 race ‘mathematically’ over: Graham

Evans Liberal Politics
Monday, March 12, 2012


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and US Politics

Republican 2012 race
‘mathematically’ over: Graham

Republican 2012 race ‘mathematically’ over: Graham, Agence France-Presse on The Raw Story, March 11, 2012, by AFP, used with permission, quoted verbatim: Evans Liberal Politics is pleased to partner with The Raw Story to bring you cutting edge news.

WASHINGTON — Mitt Romney has all but won the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, top senator Lindsey Graham said Sunday, agreeing with the candidate that “mathematically, this thing is about over.”


Romney has won 14 of 25 state-by-state votes that decide which Republican candidate takes on President Barack Obama in November, compared to eight wins for Rick Santorum and just two for former House speaker Newt Gingrich.

These victories have given Romney almost 40 percent of the 1,144 delegates needed to secure the nomination. He has 446 delegates, Santorum 199 and Gingrich 117, according to authoritative poll aggregator RealClearPolitics.

“Mathematically, Rick would have to win 75 percent of what remains,” Graham, a senior Republican who serves on various Senate committees, told ABC’s “This Week” program.

“He’s done an outstanding job, Rick has, of starting with almost nothing and being a real contender, and Newt’s come back from the dead two or three times,” Graham said. “But mathematically, this thing is about over, but emotionally it’s not.”

Graham was speaking ahead of two do-or-die contests for Gingrich on Tuesday in the conservative southern states of Mississippi and Alabama — although the former House speaker has pledged to stay in the race until the bitter end.

The Santorum camp argues that if he can consolidate the conservative vote behind him, at Gingrich’s expense, then he can still overtake the frontrunner before the race wraps up at the party’s end of August convention.

“I think everybody believes, if I could just get a one-on-one with Romney, I could win this thing,” said Graham.

“But if Romney does well, wins either Mississippi or Alabama and wins Illinois, then I think it’s virtually impossible for this thing to continue much beyond early May.”

Graham, who has yet to officially endorse any candidate, stopped short of calling on Santorum, Gingrich, or even veteran Texas congressman Ron Paul — who has yet to win even one state vote — to quit.

“It’s Romney’s to lose,” he said. “And, quite frankly, every time he had his back against the wall, he’s performed. And I like his chances, but the other two candidates have got to make that decision themselves.”

See Mary Matalin: Romney has ‘heart and soul’ of an average American, The Raw Story, March 11, 2012, by David Edwards: "Mitt Romney may have a net worth of a quarter of a billion dollars (AND a Swiss bank account, AND investments outside of the US in the tax-free Cayman Islands — PE), but he has the “heart and soul” of an average American, according to GOP strategist Mary Matalin." – Ha, ha, ha, ha ha ha. I laugh. – Paul Evans

Obama Behind Romney in New Poll

See Obama poll rating drops in Republican boost, Agence France-Presse on The Raw Story, March 12, 2012, by AFP:

President Barack Obama’s approval rating has plunged below 50 percent and he would be beaten by Republican frontrunner Mitt Romney if November’s US election were held today, a poll showed Monday.

The survey, by ABC News and The Washington Post, indicated that only 46 percent of Americans now approved of the way Obama is handling his job and 50 percent disapproved as he took a hit from rising gas prices.

The situation was a reversal from early February when 50 percent approved of the president’s performance and 46 percent disapproved.

The survey was released as the battleground for the Republican presidential nomination moved to the deep South for Tuesday’s primaries in Alabama and Mississippi.

If the presidential election were held today, the poll found that Romney would beat Obama 49 percent to 47 percent.

Agence France-Presse: "AFP journalists cover wars, conflicts, politics, science, health, the environment, technology, fashion, entertainment, the offbeat, sports and a whole lot more in text, photographs, video, graphics and online."

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All Things Romney: Mitt Romney in the News

Evans Liberal Politics
Feburay 22, 2012


The Best in Liberal Christian News
and US Politics

All Things Romney: Mitt Romney in the News

Evans Liberal Politics, February 22, 2012, compiled and with summaries by Paul Evans, photo courtesy of Gage Skidmore via The Raw Story:

Mitt Romney is either tied or very slightly ahead in the Michigan polls, and about tied with Rick Santorum in Arizona. Santorum continues to hammer at the Obama administration in what to mainstream America appears to be a radical way, yet about half of Republicans think he should be the nominee. It’s not hard for Santorum to repeatedly point to changed Romney positions from a few years ago, and then to question his credentials as a conservative. What a comedown for the once “inevitable” candidacy of Romney! To make matters worse, although Romney took in a good deal of money during the previous primaries in January, he spent almost three times as much, even though he still has a positive balance sheet. Romeny is fighting back hard though: to hold his own in the conservative state of Arizona, he must be doing something right. Here, then, is a compilation of news relating to Mitt Romney: ~ Paul Evans

Mitt Romney: Obama Administration
Has ‘Fought Against Religion’

Gage Skidmore photograph of Mitt Romney

In this Huffington Post article, we see that in order to compete with Santorum among conservative Christian voters, Romney is resorting to the traditional Republican tactic of demagoguery. Obama’s campaign characterized the Romney comment as “disgraceful.”

Romney says spending cuts
will slow economic growth

The Raw Story broke this headline yesterday, and this is a huge break with Republican orthodoxy on the face of it. The devil is in the details, though:

“If you just cut, if all you’re thinking about doing is cutting spending, as you cut spending you’ll slow down the economy,” he said in Michigan. “So you have to, at the same time, create pro-growth tax policies.”

So Romney is not actually calling for not cutting spending, or if there are cuts, he just wants to “balance” these cuts by economically “positive” tax cuts for the rich. That sounds very typical for fiscally conservative Republicans, does it not?

In January, Romney spends
nearly three times his haul

According to CNN, during the four primaries in the month of January, Romney spent a whopping $18.7 million. However he only took in $6.5 million, still somehow leaving his camp with resources of $7.7 million on hand. He came out of the month with wins in two of the four primaries.

Sarah Palin’s 8 best pokes at Mitt Romney

Politico’s video and written summary of Ms. Palin’s surprisingly sarcastic and occasionally witty remarks. The woman appears to be learning. About Romney’s candidacy she said:

“I am not convinced and I don’t think the majority of GOP and independent voters are convinced. He’s still in the 30th percentile… He hasn’t risen above that yet because we are not convinced.”

Mitt Romney talks vice president,
bailout at town hall

Politico: SHELBY TOWNSHIP, Mich. — Mitt Romney today abandoned his efforts to maintain strict control over his campaign’s message, taking questions for nearly 30 minutes at a town hall here.

Fiddling while Rome burns, Romney insists he is keeping an “upbeat” outlook, and steadfastly attends only one event a day, while Santorum maintains a blistering pace of three or four events a day. He characterized the Santorum candidacy as “untested,” and pointedly noted that:

“We had Donald Trump for a while and we had Herman Cain and we had Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich. They’ve all been vetted very carefully. Rick Santorum is now just being seen for the first time.”

CNN/Time poll: Romney
holds narrow lead in Arizona

Politico: Mitt Romney is still in the lead in Arizona — but just barely, according to a CNN/Time poll out this afternoon.

Romney gets the support of 36 percent of likely voters in the state, compared with 32 percent for Rick Santorum. Newt Gingrich comes in third with 18 percent, followed by Ron Paul with 6 percent.

These results are fairly similar to the Arizona Public Policy Polling survey out yesterday, which found Romney with 36 percent and Santorum with 33 percent.

Oddly enough, in its headline, CNN itself took the same data and characterized the contest as “all tied up.” Would this be any sort of indicator of which news organization favors which candidate?

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Romney Facing Unexpected Hurdles in Michigan

NY Times: NOVI, Mich. — This was supposed to be a state, at last, where Mitt Romney could coast. After all, he grew up here. His father, an automobile executive, had been the governor. And the last time there was a Republican presidential primary in Michigan, Mr. Romney won handily.

Yet, with less than a week until Michigan Republicans vote and with polling suggesting that Rick Santorum is mounting a serious challenge, Mr. Romney finds himself urgently pouring resources into his home state — unveiling gauzy television ads aimed at reminding residents of his family roots and rolling out endorsements from a virtual who’s who in Lansing: the governor, a former Senate majority leader, the attorney general, a former attorney general, and on and on.

Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum expected
to be focus of GOP debate in Arizona

Mass.com: The Republican presidential debate in Arizona Wednesday could prove to be a key moment in the 2012 race. The CNN-sponsored debate is the last one before voters head to the polls in 18 states. Debates scheduled for March 1 and March 5 have been canceled, and the next Republican debate is scheduled for March 19 in Oregon.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is tied with former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum in Michigan and a loss in that state next week could be disastrous to Romney’s campaign. The Arizona debate is expected to be focused on Romney and Michigan and could prove to be a showdown between Romney and Santorum.

Romney reverses course, praises
‘important role’ of labor unions

Sherrod Brown's petition for a constitutional amendment to overturn the Supreme Court's Citizen's United decision

Just last week, the Romney campaign blasted labor unions, saying that “they too often stand as obstacles to growth and fight against the workers they are supposed to serve.”

On the face of it, this is a revolutionary, new position for a major Republican to take. Ah, but he is campaigning in Michigan, now, so all of a sudden the leopard changes his spots and is pro-union. Still, Romney can be reasonable at times, unlike Santorum.

Also See In Republican Race, a New Breed of Superdonor, The NY Times, February 21, 2012, by Nicholas Confessori, Michael Luo and Mike McIntire:

NY Times Summary: An exclusive club in presidential politics includes individuals, couples or corporations that have given $1 million or more to “super PACs.”

UPDATE: See Rick Santorum Mocks Mitt Romney, AP on Huffington Post, February 22, 2012, by Charles Babington:

TUCSON, Ariz. — Rick Santorum is mocking Mitt Romney as a “Johnny come lately to the conservative cause.”

Ahead of Wednesday night’s GOP presidential debate in Arizona, Santorum told a tea party gathering in Tucson that Romney proposed a lower corporate tax rate only after Santorum had done so.

The crowd of 400 laughed and clapped when Santorum said America doesn’t need a leader who has been “a well-oiled weather vane.”

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Romney Stays On the Offense With Gingrich (with Commentary)

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Romney Stays On the Offense With Gingrich

Romney Turns Gingrich Attacks
Relentlessly Back Against Newt
(with Commentary)

Romney Stays On the Offense With Gingrich, The NY Times, January 26, 2012, by Jim Rutenberg and Jeff Zelany, excerpts quoted verbatim:

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Mitt Romney, facing his greatest challenge of the campaign so far, relentlessly pressed Newt Gingrich on Thursday night in their final debate before the Florida primary, seeking to regain the offensive against an insurgent challenge that has shaken his claim to inevitability.

On immigration, personal finances and the grand ideas that have been the trademark of Mr. Gingrich’s candidacy, Mr. Romney gave his rival no quarter, giving prime time voice to his campaign’s all-out, round-the-clock assault on Mr. Gingrich here.

In a debate in which Mr. Romney could ill afford to allow Mr. Gingrich another triumphant night, he delivered sharp lines that gave him an advantage usually held by Mr. Gingrich: applause from the audience.

graphic link to a page with a petition to put unscrupulous Wall Street bankers in jail

Mr. Gingrich started the week with all the momentum here after his victory in South Carolina. But he has subsequently come under relentless pounding from the Romney campaign and its supporters, a battering that appears to have had some impact….

Romney Packed Debate Hall
With Supporters, Gingrich Aide Says

WASHINGTON — Members of Newt Gingrich’s campaign accused Mitt Romney’s campaign of packing the audience for the Republican presidential candidate debate on Thursday night in Jacksonville, Fla., with its own supporters to ensure that the dynamics would be favorable to Romney….

Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich
square off in Republican debate

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich sparred here Thursday night over immigration, taxes and wealth, lobbying, and colonizing the moon in a debate that underscored the potential consequences of a loss for either of the leading Republican presidential candidates in Tuesday’s high-stakes Florida primary.

Romney went on the offensive, as he had in a forum on Monday. The former Massachusetts governor said it was “repulsive” for the former House speaker to label him “the most anti-immigrant” candidate in the field. He blasted Gingrich’s moon proposal, saying that if someone had brought it to him, his response would have been “You’re fired.” He goaded his rival into a discussion of his taxes.

Mitt & Newt Spar Over
Who Is *More* Pro-Immigrant

A few debates ago, when the Republican candidates for president gathered in Florida, the then-frontrunner Rick Perry expressed compassion for illegal immigrants on stage ended up publicly apologizing and never recovering.

Lesson learned: stick to the hardline when it comes to immigration. Well, that was then. At the Thursday night’s debate — the last before Florida’s primary on Jan. 31 — Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney got into a very spirited debate about who would be nicer to grandmothers who happen to be in the United States illegally.

Mitt Romney Goes After
Newt Gingrich’s Mental State

Mitt Romney is making the homestretch of the Florida primary race in part a battle over Newt Gingrich’s mental state.

Greg Sargent snagged a copy of a Romney mailing going out in Florida that paints this in stark terms: Gingrich is “Unethical. Erratic. Reckless.” the mailer reads.

But this is just the latest in a string of less-than-veiled hits on Gingrich’s mental condition coming from Romney surrogates and Romney himself.

At a press conference in Tampa, FL Monday before the NBC News debate, Romney described Gingrich this way:

“I think as you look at the speaker’s record over time, it’s been highly erratic…You know, he voted in favor of establishing the Department of Education, and yet he gets in a debate and says we should get rid of the Department of Education and send all the education issues back to the states. He’s opposed vehemently to the Massachusetts health care system, and yet just a couple years ago wrote about what a superb system it was.

He’s gone from pillar to post almost like a pinball machine, from item to item in a way which is highly erratic…It does not suggest a stable, thoughtful course, which is normally associated with leadership.”

Commentary by Paul Evans: You know, I can’t quite decide whether or not the attacks on Gingrich’s “erratic” proposals are a brilliant tactic by Romney’s people or not. In any case I hope Obama’s people are paying close attention to these somewhat factual accusations, as it seems to me that using Gingrich’s state of mind and mental inconsistencies over the years, would be an effective line of attack in the general election. If you are a Democrat, you really have to hope that Gingrich might win the nomination. There are plenty of lines of attack there open for Obama.

Gingrich might get away with rhetorical tricks now, or for the time being have some success with his ability to use the English language, with which he has some facility, to twist the facts around, but he is open to attacks and problems from his personal life….I can see Obama’s people “licking their chops” in anticipation. And he won’t get away with B.S. accusations such as those he’s tried to pin on Romney, nor these weird ideational flights that he sometimes comes out with, such as a base on the moon. It does seem that Gingrich comes up with these high flown ideas and doesn’t vet them, he just puts them straight out there, without proper evaluation. I suppose it has something to do with his intellectual egoism. Overall, his record strikes me as raw meat that Obama and his people would chew up and spit out in the event of his nomination.

It’s not that Gingrich isn’t intelligent, it just seems to me that he belongs in some well-funded think tank, and not really on the national stage or as the GOP nominee. Unless you are a strong Democrat, in which case you would probably be hoping for Gingrich’s success (until the general election).

Also See Newt + Tea Party = Obama Landslide, Daily Kos, January 26, 2012, by yngindpt.

GOP strategist: RNC Chairman Michael Steele has ‘failed miserably’

Evans Liberal Politics
August 16, 2010

 

GOP strategist: RNC Chairman Michael Steele has ‘failed miserably’

 

GOP strategist: RNC Chairman Michael Steele has ‘failed miserably’, The Raw Story, August 15, 2010, by Stephen C. Webster, used with permission, quoted verbatim:

Steele ‘not going to matter’ to Republicans’ 2010 strategy thanks to Karl Rove’s ‘coup’ via ‘shadow RNC’


Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairman Michael Steele is under fire from his own party once again.

But this time, he may not be getting another chance at redemption in the eyes of senior GOP leaders.

Appearing on CBS’s Face the Nation on Sunday, Republican strategist Ed Rollins was asked to comment on the so-called “shadow RNC” that has sprung up to bypass Steele as the Republican party’s core management. Rollins has in recent months emerged as a strong Republican critic of chairman Steele, after calling for his resignation in April.

“[He’s] so immersed in controversy that he’s kind of in a bunker these days,” host Bob Schieffer said, noting Steele’s reluctance to appear on television. “Are Republicans going to have to do something about Michael Steele?”

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“Well, there’s no time,” Rollins replied, noting the upcoming election season. “Obviously he’s been a disaster. You have three men on this show — not me, but the other three — who have all been party chairmen and very distinguished party chairmen. Michael Steele has failed miserably in the things you’re supposed to do: raise money and basically go out and articulate the message. It’s not going to matter though — in the 11 weeks from now, what he says and does in the next 11 weeks is not going to matter.”

The reason Rollins says it will not matter is because of the so-called “shadow RNC” formed by former Bush political adviser Karl Rove and former RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie, which has effectively undermined Steele’s position, rendering him nothing more than a figurehead.

Rove disclosed during a July broadcast by Fox News, his part-time employer, that his American Crossroads groups would effectively benefit via financing loopholes opened by the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision.

That decision, reached in January of 2010, held that corporations could donate unlimited amounts of money to political organizations, which could in-turn purchase unlimited amounts of political advertising.

President Obama has assailed the court’s decision as giving room for “no less than a potential corporate takeover of our elections.”

“[What] is at stake is no less than the integrity of our democracy,” he insisted, urging congressional democrats to develop legislation that forces political media buyers to identify themselves in their ads.

Rove and Gillespie said the American Crossroads groups aim to raise and spend over $50 million to influence the 2010 elections. IRS forms obtained by the media showed the “shadow RNC” groups had raised $4.7 million by the end of July, with just four individual billionaires cited as donating over 97 percent of the total.

Tim Dickenson, writing for Rolling Stone, called the plot nothing less than a “coup of the Republican party”.

Steele, who’s faced a string of controversies seemingly since he was elected to lead the RNC after President Obama’s 2008 victory, has vowed to stay put. He recently caught flack from Republicans for suggesting the Afghan war was one of choice for President Obama, and a prior rhetorical tangle he had with conservative radio host and de-facto GOP mouthpiece Rush Limbaugh ended with Steele apologizing.

Whether Steele stays or not, according to Rollins and other GOP insiders, seems of little significance at this point — so long as he keeps out of the spotlight.

This audio is from CBS’s Face the Nation, broadcast Sunday, August 15, 2010, as snipped by Think Progress.

"Rollins: ‘Steele Won’t Matter’:" The Republican strategist weighs in on the Michael Steele controversy — 1:05

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